Probability distributions
PLATFORM / RISK

RISK

Understand uncertainty before it strikes.

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01 / What it does

THE FULL
RANGE

Piscis transforms simulation results into probability distributions that show how the system can evolve under different conditions. It doesn't deliver a single value. It exposes the full range of possible scenarios and their likelihood.

TRADITIONAL
One expected value
PISCIS
P5P50P95
02 / Why it matters

DECISIONS ARE NOT MADE AT THE AVERAGE

EXTREME EVENTS

Adverse scenarios have disproportionate impact. The average doesn't capture them.

ASYMMETRIC DECISIONS

The cost of failure doesn't equal the benefit of success. The full distribution shows this.

ACCUMULATING RISKS

Interactions between variables can amplify unexpected outcomes.

03 / How it works

FROM SIMULATIONS TO DISTRIBUTIONS

01

SCENARIO GENERATION

Simulations produce multiple results under different conditions.

02

DISTRIBUTION CONSTRUCTION

Results are organized into probability ranges by percentile.

03

SCENARIO ANALYSIS

Specific risks are identified according to the conditions and decisions evaluated.

04 / What changes

FROM ESTIMATES TO REAL RISK EXPOSURE

Piscis lets you understand not just what can happen, but how likely it is and under what conditions. It's not about avoiding risk. It's about understanding it before it occurs.

P5–P95
Outcome range
Systematic
Identification of adverse scenarios
By condition
What amplifies risk
Comparative
Across possible decisions

Explore risk scenarios

Connect uncertainty with concrete decisions.